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Economic··Severity 7

US stocks: US market ends lower as bond yields hold near multi-decade highs

US stocks closed slightly lower as consumer confidence fell to a significant low not seen in over 12 years. Rising government bond yields have affected investor sentiments before upcoming economic data releases.

Reports indicated a decline in job openings and a pessimistic outlook from households regarding the economy. Multiple Federal Reserve officials expressed differing views on the need for future interest rate hikes.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

35%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%