Natural··Severity 7
Security Council LIVE: DRC peace deals fail to halt fighting as Ebola deepens crisis
The Security Council is meeting in New York on the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) Tuesday, where clashes between Government forces and M23 rebels continue in the east despite a series of peace agreements.
Ambassadors are likely to focus on ceasefire monitoring, rising tensions between the DRC and Rwanda, and the country’s worst Ebola outbreak on record.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
23%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: UN News
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%