Economic··Severity 7
Traders Pull Back on October Fed Hike Bets After Cool PCE Data
Traders pared back their expectations for the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates in October after the central bank’s preferred measure of inflation accelerated by less than expected.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
38%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%