Geopolitical··Severity 8
Are the Houthis winning against Saudi Arabia?
It's unclear how the Saudis can defuse the threat presented by the Houthis in next-door Yemen or who they can turn to for help. The US isn't interested, the Europeans are hedging and nobody wants open conflict with Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
63%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%