Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Trump claims war will end ‘very soon’, gives no details
US President Donald Trump reiterates that Tehran will not have a nuclear weapon.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%