Geopolitical··Severity 8
Republika Srpska prime minister calls for preventing new conflict in Europe
Savo Minic stressed that he "knows very well what war is," as he personally took part in hostilities in the early 1990s
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%