Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine overnight with Zircon, Oniks and Iskander missiles and 188 drones
Russia attacked Ukraine overnight with Zircon/Oniks anti-ship missiles, Iskander-M/S-400 ballistic missiles and 188 drones, with air defence destroying 160 aerial assets and hits recorded at 18 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%