Economic··Severity 7
China Warns Broad EU Tariffs Could Disrupt Trade Negotiations
China vowed to retaliate if the European Union adopts broad tariffs on Chinese goods modeled on previous US measures, warning that such action could undermine trade negotiations with the bloc.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
48%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Bloomberg Markets
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%