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Geopolitical··Severity 8

"It will be a dark winter for Europe": Belgium predicts increase in Russian hybrid attacks

Belgian Defence Minister Theo Francken has warned that Russian hybrid attacks on Europe will increase in the coming months and called for stronger air defence using Ukrainian technologies.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

64%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%