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Economic··Severity 7

Bond supply may outweigh demand, push yields higher

Bond yields in India are anticipated to increase in the latter half of this fiscal year. This rise is primarily due to higher government borrowing and ongoing inflationary pressures.

Analysts expect demand for government securities to fall significantly short of supply. The trajectory of bond yields will also be heavily influenced by oil prices, particularly if crude stays high.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%