Geopolitical··Severity 8
Conflict escalation never one-sided — Putin
According to the Russian leader, the moment when nothing can be changed may arrive very quickly and unexpectedly for everyone
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%