Military··Severity 8
Kiev pursues strategy of suffocating civilians in Alyoshki — Russian envoy
According to Russia's Permanent Representative to OSCE Dmitry Polyansky, the Ukrainian military conducted about 500 drone strikes against the territory of the Novokakhovsky urban district in the Kherson Region over the past week
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%