Geopolitical··Severity 9
Trump again says Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil refineries have affected diesel market
US President Donald Trump says the war between Russia and Ukraine, including strikes on Russian oil refineries, has had a greater impact on the diesel fuel market than the conflict in the Middle East.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
76%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%