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Economic··Severity 7

The Biggest Jump in Global Crop Prices Since 2022 Threatens to Boost Inflation

Global agriculture prices notched their biggest quarterly jump since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in early 2022 on fresh tensions in the Black Sea region and extreme weather, in a potential headwind for central bank inflation targets.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

47%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%