Why US Himars missile shortfalls raise stakes for a potential Taiwan Strait conflict
A potential conflict in the Taiwan Strait could see crossfire exchanged between two mobile rocket systems: the US-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket System (Himars), and its mainland Chinese counterpart, the PHL-16, also known as the PCL-191.
Taiwan is set to receive all 29 Himars systems from its initial orders by the end of this year, with another 82 systems approved for purchase in a follow-on deal, bringing the planned total to 111.
This does not include the US military’s Himars systems...
Scenario chain
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Эскалация
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Primary source: South China Morning Post
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%