Geopolitical··Severity 8
International Criminal Court cuts ties with Axa over US sanctions
Move follows fears that broad US sanctions on the war crimes tribunal would force the insurer to cease doing business with it or face punishment
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%