Geopolitical··Severity 8
NATO Secretary General: Europe is not at peace today
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte has stated that Europe is not at peace today as it faces a full-blown war in Ukraine and growing Russian hybrid attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
65%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%