Geopolitical··Severity 8
World must reconsider rules governing armed conflicts — Putin
According to the Russian president, the world wars seemed to have nullified the achievements of humanitarian law
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
56%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%