Geopolitical··Severity 8
Modi Faces Protest Threat Over Election Commission Scandal
India’s opposition parties and the Cockroach movement are ready to march over fresh allegations of bias.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Foreign Policy
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%