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Geopolitical··Severity 8

Latest Oil Market News and Analysis for Oct. 2

Oil rose a third day on signs the conflict in the Middle East is escalating, threatening to hamper a recovery in energy flows from the region.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

62%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Bloomberg Markets

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%