Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Trump hints US could strike Iran, warns time coming
Trump says the US may “blow up” Iran or strike a deal, insisting the standoff will end very soon one way or the other.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%