Natural··Severity 7
Algeria introduces death penalty for arsonists after deadly wildfires
It is estimated more than 200 people have died in blazes in the north-east of the country over the summer.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%