Military··Severity 8
Blasts heard in Addis Ababa as Ethiopia conflict widens in the north
Thousands flee Mekelle amid advancing troops and disrupted services as tensions rise in Ethiopia's northern territories.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%