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Geopolitical··Severity 9

NATO strikes on Serbs ‘preparation’ for Ukraine conflict — war correspondent

Danijel Simic stressed that Russians should remember the lessons of history and not allow NATO and the European Union to dictate what they should do

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

78%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%