Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: US moves 2,000 Marines to Middle East, tanker hit in Hormuz
US deploys Roosevelt strike group and 2,000 Marines to the Middle East as part of a wider buildup around Iran.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
62%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%