Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump says renewed strikes on Iran after midterms 'possible'
US President Donald Trump said Washington could resume large-scale strikes on Iran after the November midterm elections, while rejecting Tehran's latest ceasefire proposal as insufficient, according to an interview with TIME published on Thursday.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
54%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: CGTN World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%