Geopolitical··Severity 9
Zelenskyy on Russian strikes on Kyiv: They want Ukrainians to leave the capital
Zelenskyy says Russia is intensifying attacks on civilian targets to force Ukrainians to leave Kyiv and predicts further escalation ahead of the US midterm elections.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%