Geopolitical··Severity 9
Live: Russia hits Kyiv’s Southern Bridge as Moscow continues to pound capital
Russian airstrikes hit Kyiv’s Southern Bridge, the city’s mayor said on Friday. Russia also targeted a school and apartment buildings in the capital, killing at least one person.
Ukraine, meanwhile, launched an overnight drone attack on the Russian city of Volgograd, targeting industrial facilities. Follow our liveblog for all the latest developments on the war in Ukraine.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%