Geopolitical··Severity 8
On the run for 20 years, Ugandan warlord Kony still 'active' within the Lord's Resistance Army
In recent months, the eastern Central African Republic has been hit by several attacks attributed to the Lord’s Resistance Army (LRA), a Ugandan militia infamous for its massacres and mass abductions of children in the 1990s and 2000s.
The group's leader, Joseph Kony, wanted by the International Criminal Court for more than 20 years, remains at large.
FRANCE 24 spoke to Leonie von Braun, the ICC’s lead investigator on the Kony case, about the group's resurgence.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
60%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%