Military··Severity 9
North Korea fires ballistic missile towards the sea, South Korea says
A ballistic missile is fired from the North Korean port city of Wonsan, South Korea's military says.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%