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Economic··Severity 7

Fed officials give hints on rate decision as markets cut October rate hike odds

Fed officials tempered expectations for an October rate hike after Philip Jefferson and John Williams stressed patience and data dependence.

Markets sharply reduced hike odds, though persistent inflation and upcoming consumer price data could shape the Federal Reserve’s policy decision.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

38%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%