Natural··Severity 7
Could El Niño mean there are no Atlantic hurricanes this year?
For the first time in three decades there has not been a single Atlantic hurricane in September, normally the most active month.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
32%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%