Military··Severity 9
FirstFT: Putin has told military to abandon rules of war, Zelenskyy says
Also in today’s newsletter: US sends more troops to Middle East and bond sell-off
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
80%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: FT World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%