Geopolitical··Severity 8
Intensified Russian strikes are tearing Kyiv apart, warns mayor
Vitaliy Klitschko says Ukraine's capital is in a "very dramatic situation" as Russia is hits critical infrastructure.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%