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Economic··Severity 7

Weekly Graphic: Exports Drive Modest European Recovery

(click to enlarge) The European economy regained some momentum in the second quarter of 2026.

Gross domestic product increased by 0.6 percent quarter-on-quarter in the euro area and 0.7 percent in the EU, after essentially stagnating in the first quarter.

On an annual basis, growth reached 1.2 percent in the euro area and 1.4 percent in the EU.

The recovery was driven primarily by net exports, while household consumption made a smaller positive contribution and investment remained broadly flat.

This points to a European economy that is growing again, but with an uneven and somewhat fragile composition. External trade is […

] The post Weekly Graphic: Exports Drive Modest European Recovery appeared first on Geopolitical Futures.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

42%

Сценарии event-driven intelligence:

Primary source: Geopolitical Futures

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%