Economic··Severity 7
Russia’s oil and gas revenues to fall to 2.7% of GDP in 2029
After reaching 5.5% of GDP in 2024, oil and gas revenues have been steadily declining, taking into account exchange rate trends, global energy prices, as well as the structure of hydrocarbon production and export volumes, and are estimated at 3.3% of GDP in 2026
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
46%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%