Geopolitical··Severity 8
Pakistan vs. Afghanistan: From allies and neighbors to war
For years, Pakistan supported the Taliban in Afghanistan. But now Pakistan is bombing its neighbor.
How the former allies became adversaries and why negotiations keep failing.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
57%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: DW World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%