Geopolitical··Severity 9
Senior Russian security official sees more countries seeking nuclear weapons
Dmitry Medvedev maintained that for nukes only can in effect thwart a global conflict as recent events showed in no uncertain terms
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
72%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%