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Military··Severity 8

Russian forces strike Kiev bridge used to move troops across Dnieper

The Russian Armed Forces continue to strike Ukrainian infrastructure facilities and seagoing vessels used in the interests of the Ukrainian armed forces

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

69%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: TASS English

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%