Geopolitical··Severity 8
Russia attacks Ukraine with 157 drones overnight, hits recorded at 12 locations
Russian forces attacked Ukraine with 157 Shahed, Gerbera strike drones and decoy UAVs on the night of 2-3 October. Hits have been recorded at 12 locations.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%