Military··Severity 8
Why Canada is preparing for a (long shot) US invasion
Prime Minister Mark Carney has said the military is running scenarios in the unlikely case the US invades Canada.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
67%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: BBC World
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%