Geopolitical··Severity 8
Merz unveils new aid for Ukraine as Russia strikes Kyiv during German leader's visit
German Chancellor Friedrich Merz announced a new aid package for Ukraine worth more than 1.3 billion euros ($1.5 billion) during a visit to Kyiv on Sunday marked by renewed Russian attacks on the Ukrainian capital, including the latest drone attack on a bridge spanning the Dnipro River.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Сценарии event-driven intelligence
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%