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Economic··Severity 7

RBI could keep rates higher for longer amid global and local risks

With global financial risks in the spotlight, the Reserve Bank of India is indicating a shift towards higher interest rates.

Governor Sanjay Malhotra has highlighted emerging challenges, including significant global debt levels and surging asset prices.

The rise in US treasury yields and crude oil costs suggests trials ahead for the Indian economy.

Scenario chain

Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.

A

Эскалация

45%

Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.

Primary source: Economic Times

Ваши вероятности A/B/C

C 33%