Geopolitical··Severity 8
Iran war live: Yemeni forces strike Sanaa as Trump warns Tehran of hard way
Fighting in Yemen displaces more civilians as Trump says a decision on Iran is coming.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
64%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Al Jazeera
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%