Geopolitical··Severity 9
Zelenskyy surprised by Russia's "savage desire" to escalate war, says it was Russia that struck first
Speaking alongside Friedrich Merz, President Zelenskyy rejected Russian pretexts for escalation after strikes hit Kyiv's bridges and data networks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
75%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%