Geopolitical··Severity 8
All EU member state embassies remain in Kyiv, EU ambassador to Ukraine says
EU Ambassador Katarína Mathernová says all 25 EU member states with embassies in Kyiv will keep their diplomatic missions operating in the Ukrainian capital despite Moscow’s warnings of further attacks.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
61%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: Ukrainska Pravda
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%