Military··Severity 8
Ukrainian army loses around 1,395 troops in special military operation zone — ministry
Russian forces also struck Ukrainian transport infrastructure facilities used by the Ukrainian army, as well as military equipment depots
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%