Military··Severity 8
Russian Defense Ministry says it strikes Kiev in response to Kiev regime’s actions
Russian forces will step up strikes on military and defense industry facilities in Kiev and other Ukrainian regions
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
69%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%