Military··Severity 9
Iran says no military solution to war as peace talks with US stall
Iran's diplomat said on Sunday there was no military solution to the US war against Iran as peace talks appeared stalled.
Washington has scaled back attacks in favour of economic pressure, while Iran's attempted Hormuz blockade remains contentious. A UK maritime agency reported another tanker hit by an unidentified projectile.
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
77%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: France24
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%