Geopolitical··Severity 8
Trump believes Iran involved in Flydubai incident
The US president also pointed out that Washington knew who was behind the threat that prompted the US to withdraw all its B-1 strategic bombers from the UK’s RAF Fairford
Scenario chain
Probabilities below are model estimates based on the event chain, horizon, and indicators. They are not outcome guarantees, investment advice, or emergency instructions.
A
59%Эскалация
Forecast derived from cascade analysis. Watch confirmation indicators below.
Primary source: TASS English
Ваши вероятности A/B/C
C 33%